Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.151353 0.180605 0.213519 0.253223 0.299751 0.352472 0.416667
2025-04-20 0.111338 0.149601 0.197505 0.261581 0.344705 0.448519 0.587585
2025-04-27 0.094339 0.138348 0.197924 0.283786 0.403558 0.563764 0.793152
2025-05-04 0.079818 0.125970 0.192648 0.294863 0.446173 0.660146 0.983389
2025-05-11 0.065661 0.110719 0.179733 0.291498 0.465854 0.724732 1.134489
2025-05-18 0.053282 0.095554 0.163896 0.280304 0.470805 0.766429 1.254436
2025-05-25 0.043187 0.082089 0.148263 0.266417 0.468551 0.795264 1.355787
2025-06-01 0.038205 0.076482 0.144592 0.271361 0.496833 0.874424 1.544248
2025-06-08 0.032056 0.067590 0.133723 0.261989 0.499041 0.910076 1.663419
2025-06-15 0.028948 0.063943 0.131738 0.268125 0.528871 0.995031 1.874171
2025-06-22 0.025812 0.059671 0.127876 0.270042 0.550862 1.067876 2.069950
2025-06-29 0.022573 0.054596 0.121647 0.266380 0.561580 1.120885 2.234162
2025-07-06 0.019607 0.049761 0.115536 0.262845 0.573571 1.180198 2.421571
2025-07-13 0.017991 0.047747 0.115166 0.271372 0.611186 1.293007 2.723876
2025-07-20 0.017592 0.048569 0.121134 0.294340 0.681407 1.476722 3.182607
2025-07-27 0.016410 0.047213 0.121916 0.305800 0.728289 1.617854 3.569057
2025-08-03 0.014466 0.043493 0.116539 0.302318 0.741852 1.691408 3.823653
2025-08-10 0.012359 0.038896 0.108271 0.290736 0.735565 1.722072 3.990741
2025-08-17 0.010428 0.034372 0.099420 0.276365 0.720847 1.732615 4.115052
2025-08-24 0.009603 0.032921 0.098357 0.281482 0.753182 1.850551 4.485977
2025-08-31 0.008292 0.029695 0.091966 0.271783 0.747943 1.882482 4.666555
2025-09-07 0.007718 0.028690 0.091599 0.278133 0.783709 2.012733 5.083561
2025-09-14 0.007056 0.027248 0.089741 0.280117 0.808437 2.119086 5.454070